Top pollster warns Labour faces “significant” election defeat

Sir John Curtice, the UK’s top pollster, has warned Labour might be wrong to go for a general election.

As Prime Minister Boris Johnson pushes hard for a quick poll, Sir John warns Labour could face a significant defeat.

He said: “The truth is the Labour Party is at 25 per cent in the polls.

“It’s been at 25 per cent in the polls ever since the spring, it’s showed no signs of recovery.

“And just to remind you as to how bad that is, that is even less than Michael Foot got in 1983 which is the worst modern result for the Labour Party.

“So, for the Labour Party, it is not obvious that it should be wanting to have an early election.”

Asked on the BBC Today programme if Labour could capitalise on a general election campaign that was about other issues than Brexit, Sir John said:

“That’s certainly the Labour Party’s hope.

“The Conservatives are united on Brexit and the Labour Party is divided.

“The Labour Party certainly doesn’t want this election to simply focus on the issue of Brexit.”

Current polling indicates the Liberal Democrats and SNP could make gains.

But the Conservatives might only have a majority of around 20 seats.

Sir John said: “The polls have been moving in their favour, even in the last couple of weeks or so – on average now they put them 10 points ahead of Labour Party.

“Basically, unless the Conservatives win this election, it is extremely unlikely that Boris Johnson will be able to remain as Prime Minister.”


About the Author

Philip Braund spent 16 years at the Daily Mirror as a reporter and news editor before moving to ITV. He was the series producer of the ground-breaking investigation programme The Cook Report, Managing Editor at ITV's Millbank Studios, and Head of News at ITV Central. He has won national and regional Royal Television Society awards for documentaries.

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