Analysts presenting their annual assessment on military power around the world claim that half of Russia’s modern battle tank fleet has been destroyed by the conflict in Ukraine.
The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) came up with the staggering figure.
The much-anticipated annual Bible for military observers is the ‘Military Balance 2023.
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According to the institute’s tank spotter team, Russia may have lost as many as 2,300 more advanced T72 or T80 tanks.
This estimate is consistent with the visual evidence found on the ground in Ukraine, which is littered by the remains of Russian armour that has been destroyed. Much of this was taken out of the ground by British-supplied NLAW missiles.
According to it, Ukraine has lost 700 tanks. It claims that the conflict is getting bogged down.
The war in Ukraine is at an impasse on a strategic level. “We can expect another year of bloody fighting, with both sides using action-reaction tactics,” said Ben Barry, senior fellow for Land Warfare at the IISS.
Analysts have confirmed that they anticipate major offensives by both sides over the next month.
Both were questioned.
Barry stated that Russia will find it difficult to focus credible and competent forces to push back against the Ukrainians.
According to the annual report, Russia’s offensive capabilities have been reduced in both personnel and hardware. It is not clear if “their land combat unit are capable of offensive operations”.
Ukraine also faces difficulties
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It requested hardware from its allies to create 10 armoured brigades that would allow it to launch counteroffensives against Russia and push Russia’s military back towards its borders.
Barry stated that “current pledges from allies would provide 25 percent of that.”
“It’s not clear that Kyiv has sufficient combat power to quickly eject Russian troops.”
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Analysts believe the jury is out on whether the West will provide Ukraine the resources necessary to fulfill its war goals this year, namely the expulsion of Russia’s invading or occupying forces.
They say that the only thing certain is that many more civilians will die and that there will be more intense fighting in the future.