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Ukraine war will be over by end of spring, country’s defence minister predicts

A Ukrainian deputy defense minister predicted that the Ukrainian forces could return to Crimea by December, and that the whole war with Russia would be over by spring.

Volodymyr Havrylov (retired major general) said that his country would not stop fighting until victory. He even considered the possibility of a Russian nuclear attack.

In an interview with Sky News the minister stated that he believes there is a low chance of an atomic attack by Russia but added: “Yeah it would be drama.

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“For everyone it will just – God knows what scenario it will be – but it [a tactic nuclear strike] isn’t [a] threat that will stop us from…continuing our war.”

Regarding the possibility of peace negotiations with the Kremlin Mr Havrylov stated that they would only occur if Russian troops are ready and willing to leave every inch Ukraine including the Crimean peninsula, which President Vladimir Putin took in 2014, as well as large swathes east of Ukraine, which have been held by Russian-backed separatists over the past eighteen years.

During a visit to the UK, he stated that “there is a decision within the society in Ukraine that it is going up to the finish.”

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“It doesn’t matter what type of scenario you have.

“People put in a lot, and made a lot of effort to achieve what we have achieved.”

“And everyone knows that any delay in the conflict or freeze is only the continuation this war against Ukraine’s existence as a country.”

The victory of Ukraine’s troops with Western weapons earlier in the month was which saw the capture of Kherson. This forced the Russian troops to withdraw to the east side of Dnipro River.

Russia had taken it as the only regional capital.

When asked if success had made it more likely that other goals, like retaking Crimea in the future, Mr Havrylov replied: “It’s only time and, of course we would love to make it sooner rather than later.

He suggested that this could be helped by a “black Swan” event, which is something unpredictable and occurring in Russia such as the sudden fall of the Putin regime.

Speaking fluent English, the minister stated that Russia could face a black Swan in Russia’s country and this can help to the success of our relations with Crimea.

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“There was also a military option with some type of combination force, resources, and something else.”

“We can, for instance, step in Crimea by the end December. Possible, possible. It is not impossible that it be so,” he said.

Havrylov believed that the Ukrainian troops would fight on through winter and exploit their momentum, despite the severe conditions with freezing temperatures, exhaustion, and other harsh conditions.

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He stated that they had no choice but to stop operations because it would allow the Russian side more chances to replenish their stock and send reinforcements.

“They are interested in making a pause in the war to regroup, and to bring more people from their motherland… That’s the dream.

“That’s why…we have no right not to move.” He said, “We have to move forward.”

When the war will be over, Mr Havrylov stated that as a military, it was crucial to be ready for a long battle if Russia was able to strengthen.

“Of course, it will take time in this instance. However, I believe that this war will end by the spring.


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